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Reliance Industries: a $50 billion market value erosion and the challenges ahead

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India’s most valuable company, Reliance Industries Ltd., is facing significant headwinds.

Since reaching its peak market capitalization in July, the conglomerate, helmed by billionaire Mukesh Ambani, has seen a dramatic $50 billion erosion in value.

This decline reflects a combination of factors, including weakening earnings and broader economic concerns.

A widening gap: Reliance’s stock underperforms the Indian market

Reliance Industries’ stock performance has lagged considerably behind the benchmark NSE Nifty 50 Index this year, marking the widest divergence in approximately a decade.

While the broader Indian market has experienced recent pressure due to foreign investor selling and earnings growth anxieties, key indices still remain among the strongest performers in Asia for 2024.

Disappointing earnings: a recurring theme for Reliance Industries

A major contributor to Reliance’s recent stock decline is a string of disappointing earnings reports.

Last month, the company missed consensus estimates for the sixth consecutive quarter.

This underperformance is attributed, in part, to subdued demand within its crucial oils-to-chemicals business.

Jio’s subscriber loss: a setback for Reliance’s telecom arm

Adding to the company’s challenges, Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd., the conglomerate’s wireless service division, experienced a loss of subscribers in August following a price hike for its services.

This setback underscores the competitive pressures within the Indian telecom market.

The share bonus and the missing listings: investor uncertainty persists

While Reliance Industries offered investors a one-for-one share bonus at its annual shareholders’ meeting in August, the company provided no concrete details regarding the highly anticipated listings of its telecom and retail units.

This lack of clarity may be contributing to investor uncertainty and further weighing down the stock price.

The combination of weak earnings, subscriber losses, and delayed listings creates a challenging environment for Reliance Industries.

The company’s ability to navigate these headwinds will be crucial for its future performance and its position within the Indian market.

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